måndag 26 mars 2012
BANKERNA MÅSTE BANTA SINA BALANSRÄKNINGAR
Banker kommer att behöva banta sina balansräkningar med 1 000 miljarder dollar, eller med upp till 7 %, globalt till följd av hårdare kapitalkrav enligt en rapport av Morgan Stanley och Oliver Wyman. Vidare kan banker bli tvungna att minska riskvägda tillgångar med upp till 900 miljarder dollar. Enligt rapporten underskattar marknaden graden av rationalisering som bankerna kommer att genomföra i sina produktportföljer.
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Every one is long now. ––
Speculative positions in futures and by macro hedge funds clearly show they are aggressively long risk now. At our Paris Conference last week, 2/3rds of our audience said they were long risky assets. But overall leverage by hedge funds remains subdued, and asset allocators have only shallow longs. Retail investors continue to pour more money into safer bonds funds than equities or high yield. The world as a whole has higher
than average cash holdings and some 70% of world holdings offer no positive yield after taxes and inflation.
GER Ifo Business Climate (Mar), March 26, 09:00
On our forecast, the Ifo business climate could gain almost a
full point in March, increasing to 110.5 after 109.6 in February
This would be the highest reading since July 2011. Market expectations are for 109.5. As such, the Ifo survey, which takes
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